Bregenz 0-4 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.3
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.45
X/2
14%
5.02
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.04
2/X
5%
12.9
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bregenz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 46%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.00/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.14
+8% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
4.0 Crosses 17.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bregenz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Pölten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-1 Bregenz Bregenz AVK
20.05.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-2 HT 2-1 Bregenz Bregenz AU2
10.11.2023 Bregenz Bregenz 2-3 HT 1-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
POST-MATCH Bregenz vs St. Pölten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten ran out comfortable winners over Bregenz 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; St. Pölten found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bregenz and 1.67 for St. Pölten.

What was the final score of Bregenz vs St. Pölten?

Bregenz 0-4 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bregenz vs St. Pölten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bregenz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bregenz 37%, draw 27%, St. Pölten 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bregenz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bregenz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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