Aarhus Fremad 5-1 Aalborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

Aarhus Fremad
5-1 HT 4-0
Aalborg
📅29/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.49
No
37%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
16%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.53
1/2
6%
23.2
1/X
11%
12.75
X/1
9%
5.89
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
6%
5.7
2/1
5%
23.65
2/2
22%
3.41
2/X
4%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+6.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.0pp
37%
BTTS No
37%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarhus Fremad v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalborg EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
– Crosses 22.3
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Aarhus Fremad 5-1 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
5-1
AWAY Aalborg
1.35 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
388 Passes 478
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad cruised past Aalborg 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aalborg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 45% of the ball to Aalborg's 55%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg?

Aarhus Fremad 5-1 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Aalborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 34%, draw 22%, Aalborg 44%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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