Hvidovre 1-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.73
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 31% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.06
X/2
8%
6.96
X/X
7%
5.05
2/1
7%
23.2
2/2
15%
4.7
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.43
-17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
20.6 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hobro IK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
438 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
17.08.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
12.03.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-2 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
01.09.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 6-0 HT 3-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
19.11.2021 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
30.08.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
1-1
AWAY Hobro IK
0.83 xG 0.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
340 Passes 480
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre and Hobro IK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hvidovre at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hvidovre had 44% of the ball to Hobro IK's 56%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.83 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hvidovre and 1.17 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Hobro IK?

Hvidovre 1-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 45%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hvidovre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Under 2.5
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