Hvidovre 1-0 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.53
6+ Goals
13%
13.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.97
X/2
13%
6.64
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
4.66
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.72/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.29
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
21.0 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hobro IK
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.95 xG 1.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
446 Passes 261
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
12.03.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-2 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
01.09.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 6-0 HT 3-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
19.11.2021 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
30.08.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 2-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
27.05.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 4-0 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
1-0
AWAY Hobro IK
0.47 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
402 Passes 357
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre edged past Hobro IK 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hvidovre had 52% of the ball to Hobro IK's 48%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.47 to 0.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hobro IK.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Hvidovre and 1.17 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Hobro IK?

Hvidovre 1-0 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 43%, draw 28%, Hobro IK 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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