Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mainz 05 v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
The numbers set this up as Mainz 05's game to lose in front of their own crowd.
Mainz 05's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mainz 05 and 0.83 for Paderborn.
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Kick-off Time
Mainz 05 play Paderborn in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/08/2026, kick-off 16:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Mainz 05 vs Paderborn is a Mainz 05 win at about 57% probability, priced 1.72 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Mainz 05 57%, draw 23%, Paderborn 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.