Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Germany - Bundesliga, 29 Aug 2026

📅29/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.33
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hamburg
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.52 xG 0.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
08.11.2025 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
10.02.2018 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
20.09.2017 Hamburg Hamburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
04.04.2017 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
05.11.2016 Hamburg Hamburg 2-5 HT 0-3 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
PREVIEW Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The numbers set this up as Borussia Dortmund's game to lose in front of their own crowd.

Borussia Dortmund arrive on a real home run — 4 wins from the last 5 in the league, and both teams have scored in 4 of Hamburg's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.83 for Hamburg.

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Kick-off Time

Borussia Dortmund play Hamburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/08/2026, kick-off 19:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg is a Borussia Dortmund win at about 76% probability, priced 1.33 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Borussia Dortmund 76%, draw 14%, Hamburg 10%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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