Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.78
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.78 — our 23% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.63/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.40
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
23.3 Crosses 25.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.38 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
282 Passes 245
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-0 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
10.02.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
06.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
01.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
08.10.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.04.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Mlada Boleslav shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 64% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 36%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.33 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?

Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 51%, draw 25%, Mlada Boleslav 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Under 2.5
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