Aston Villa (K) 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.1pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.95 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
426 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
21.10.2023 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) 2-4 HT 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
2-2
AWAY Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1.95 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
438 Passes 404
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
40 Box Touches 11
45 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) and Tottenham Hotspur (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 53% of the ball to Tottenham Hotspur (K)'s 47%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.95 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aston Villa (K) and 2.50 for Tottenham Hotspur (K).

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Tottenham Hotspur (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 39%, draw 23%, Tottenham Hotspur (K) 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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