Everton (K) 0-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.18
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.6pp
61%
Away Win
70%
-9.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +44%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.44 xG 2.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
275 Passes 396
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 4-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
22.10.2023 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-5 HT 0-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
08.12.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
0-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.70 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
343 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) nicked a narrow win over Everton (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Everton (K) had 48% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 52%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.70 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Everton (K) and 4.00 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Everton (K) 0-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 14%, draw 25%, Manchester United (K) 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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