Manchester City (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

Manchester City (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester City (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.17
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
61%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.5pp
15%
Draw
11%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.8pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.6pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City (K) v Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.30/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.29
+6% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
479 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
21.9 Crosses 8.5
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Manchester City (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
3.04 xG 0.48
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
527 Passes 230
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
44 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-4 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
27.01.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
21.10.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-6 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Manchester City (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
1-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
3.03 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
474 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
53 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) edged past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 59% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 41%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.03 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester City (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.25 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Manchester City (K) 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 68%, draw 15%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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