Bergantinos 2-2 Llanera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanera EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.63/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.00
-51% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Llanera
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2022 Llanera Llanera 2-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
14.11.2021 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-2 HT 0-0 Llanera Llanera İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Llanera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos and Llanera shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bergantinos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llanera led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bergantinos and 2.00 for Llanera.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Llanera?

Bergantinos 2-2 Llanera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Llanera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 44%, draw 26%, Llanera 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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