CD Aguilas 0-0 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.44
Over 2.5
47%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
66%
-12.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
34%
+12.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.1pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.10
+1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
0-0
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas and Xerez Deportivo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CD Aguilas at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 59% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Xerez Deportivo?

CD Aguilas 0-0 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 43%, draw 29%, Xerez Deportivo 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Aguilas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✓ Under 2.5
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