Conquense 1-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

Conquense
1-0 HT 1-0
Navalcarnero
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Conquense vs Navalcarnero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Conquense v Navalcarnero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Conquense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.31
-10% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Conquense vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense nicked a narrow win over Navalcarnero 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Conquense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Conquense vs Navalcarnero?

Conquense 1-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Conquense vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Conquense 35%, draw 30%, Navalcarnero 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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