Cornella 4-1 Sant Andreu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.48
Over
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cornella EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.37
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cornella
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sant Andreu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.09.2018 Cornella Cornella 1-1 HT 0-0 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cornella
4-1
AWAY Sant Andreu
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cornella vs Sant Andreu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cornella cruised past Sant Andreu 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cornella found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cornella had 49% of the ball to Sant Andreu's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Cornella vs Sant Andreu?

Cornella 4-1 Sant Andreu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cornella vs Sant Andreu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cornella win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cornella 37%, draw 28%, Sant Andreu 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cornella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cornella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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