Eibar II 4-0 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.59
Over
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Eibar II win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 20%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.88
-13% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar II
4-0
AWAY Alfaro
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eibar II vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar II ran out comfortable winners over Alfaro 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eibar II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Eibar II had 57% of the ball to Alfaro's 43%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Eibar II vs Alfaro?

Eibar II 4-0 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar II vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Eibar II 54%, draw 27%, Alfaro 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar II), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar II) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
29 Sep 2024
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Antoniano Analysis →
12:30 Union Adarve vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 Real Madrid III vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
13:00 Cacereno vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Talavera CF Analysis →
13:00 Granada II vs Almeria II Analysis →