Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-1 UE Olot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.48
Over
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY UE Olot EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.30
+23% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1W-1D-0L
AWAY UE Olot
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.04.2023 UE Olot UE Olot 1-3 HT 1-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
11.12.2022 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-1 HT 1-0 UE Olot UE Olot İS4
POST-MATCH Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs UE Olot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Olot edged past Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ibiza Islas Pitiusas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas and 1.00 for UE Olot.

What was the final score of Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs UE Olot?

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-1 UE Olot in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs UE Olot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 41%, draw 28%, UE Olot 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ibiza Islas Pitiusas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ibiza Islas Pitiusas) ✓ Under 2.5
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