Langreo 0-2 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.6
Over
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-10.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.09
+54% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langreo
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Pontevedra
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Langreo Langreo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
17.09.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 6-0 HT 2-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
24.04.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-2 HT 3-1 Langreo Langreo İS4
04.12.2021 Langreo Langreo 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
01.12.2019 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
0-2
AWAY Pontevedra
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra saw off Langreo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Pontevedra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Langreo had 44% of the ball to Pontevedra's 56%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pontevedra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Langreo and 2.20 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Pontevedra?

Langreo 0-2 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Langreo 32%, draw 32%, Pontevedra 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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