Linares Deportivo 2-1 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.45
Over
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 29%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
+57% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Linares Deportivo vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linares Deportivo nicked a narrow win over UD San Fernando 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linares Deportivo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Linares Deportivo vs UD San Fernando?

Linares Deportivo 2-1 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linares Deportivo vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linares Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Linares Deportivo 44%, draw 27%, UD San Fernando 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linares Deportivo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linares Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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