Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Sabadell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.48
Over
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabadell EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
0.92/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/3.00
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sabadell
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
21.12.2019 Sabadell Sabadell 4-0 HT 2-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0-1
AWAY Sabadell
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell nicked a narrow win over Lleida Esportiu 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Sabadell made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 60% of the ball to Sabadell's 40%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Sabadell?

Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Sabadell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 40%, draw 29%, Sabadell 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
29 Sep 2024
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Antoniano Analysis →
12:30 Union Adarve vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 Real Madrid III vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
13:00 Cacereno vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Talavera CF Analysis →
13:00 Granada II vs Almeria II Analysis →