Rayo Cantabria 0-2 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.52
Over
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
37%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+11.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
1.68/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
0-2
AWAY Real Avila
56% Ball Possession 44%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila got the better of Rayo Cantabria 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Real Avila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 56% of the ball to Real Avila's 44%, shots finished 4-12.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Real Avila?

Rayo Cantabria 0-2 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 40%, draw 30%, Real Avila 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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