SD Logrones 0-0 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.48
Over
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
15%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SD Logrones
0-0
AWAY Barbastro
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SD Logrones vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones and Barbastro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SD Logrones at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, SD Logrones had 60% of the ball to Barbastro's 40%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Barbastro?

SD Logrones 0-0 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 56%, draw 26%, Barbastro 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SD Logrones) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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