Teruel 2-1 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.52
Over
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teruel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.11/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
-13% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teruel
2-1
AWAY Gernika
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Teruel vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teruel nicked a narrow win over Gernika 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Teruel as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teruel had 48% of the ball to Gernika's 52%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Teruel vs Gernika?

Teruel 2-1 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teruel vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Teruel 41%, draw 26%, Gernika 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teruel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teruel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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