Union Sur Yaiza 3-0 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Sur Yaiza swept aside Mostoles 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Sur Yaiza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Mostoles?

Union Sur Yaiza 3-0 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 49%, draw 31%, Mostoles 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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