Villanovense 1-1 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.48
Over
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villanovense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Villanovense vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villanovense and Deportiva Minera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Villanovense vs Deportiva Minera?

Villanovense 1-1 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villanovense vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villanovense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Villanovense 38%, draw 30%, Deportiva Minera 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villanovense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villanovense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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