Xerez 3-1 Juventud Torremolinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.45
Over
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos EU Bookmakers 27%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.35
-100% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
3-1
AWAY Juventud Torremolinos
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Juventud Torremolinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez beat Juventud Torremolinos 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez had 50% of the ball to Juventud Torremolinos's 50%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Xerez 3-1 Juventud Torremolinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Xerez 47%, draw 27%, Juventud Torremolinos 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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