Zürich 1-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

Zürich
1-0 HT 1-0
Sion
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
13.0
X/1
15%
4.57
X/2
17%
7.22
X/X
16%
4.11
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
8%
5.53
2/X
3%
13.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.0 — our 14% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.85
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.4 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
280 Passes 262
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 1-2 Sion Sion İSV
05.02.2023 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.10.2022 Sion Sion 0-1 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.08.2022 Zürich Zürich 0-3 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
23.04.2022 Zürich Zürich 5-1 HT 2-1 Sion Sion İSV
20.02.2022 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
1-0
AWAY Sion
0.50 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
284 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich nicked a narrow win over Sion 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Zürich made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Zürich had 46% of the ball to Sion's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.50 to 1.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sion.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zürich and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Sion?

Zürich 1-0 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zürich 37%, draw 33%, Sion 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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