Luzern vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Luzern v Basel — Team-Based Signals
Luzern vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 0-0
Luzern
İSV
0-2
HT 0-0
Luzern
İSV
0-1
HT 0-1
Basel
İSV
Luzern 1-0 Basel — Actual Match Statistics
Luzern nicked a narrow win over Basel 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Basel at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Luzern had 44% of the ball to Basel's 56%, shots finished 28-12, expected goals 1.56 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Luzern and 0.83 for Basel.
What was the final score of Luzern vs Basel?
Luzern 1-0 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Luzern vs Basel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luzern 33%, draw 26%, Basel 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.