Salernitana 0-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Sep 2024

Salernitana
0-0 HT 0-0
Catanzaro
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Salernitana vs Catanzaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.45
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.4
X/2
10%
7.5
X/X
8%
4.52
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.69
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.4 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salernitana v Catanzaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.56/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
16.1 Crosses 11.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Salernitana vs Catanzaro Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
22.03.2015 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTC
23.03.2014 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
27.02.2005 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
10.10.2004 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB

Salernitana 0-0 Catanzaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
0-0
AWAY Catanzaro
0.65 xG 0.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
476 Passes 306
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana and Catanzaro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Salernitana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salernitana had 60% of the ball to Catanzaro's 40%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 0.65 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Salernitana and 1.00 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Catanzaro?

Salernitana 0-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 45%, draw 26%, Catanzaro 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salernitana), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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