Köln 4-4 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 29 Sep 2024

Köln
4-4 HT 4-2
Karlsruher SC
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.31
2-3 Goals
37%
2.23
4-5 Goals
33%
2.44
6+ Goals
14%
4.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
18%
4.17
X/2
11%
12.5
X/X
10%
7.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
18.2
2/2
9%
7.82
2/X
8%
15.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.2 — our 13% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.8pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
3.22/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.72
+38% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
23.6 Crosses 19.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Köln vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
548 Passes 396
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
The Meetings
26.03.2014 Köln Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
05.10.2013 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
14.02.2009 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL1
29.08.2008 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
05.03.2007 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL2
16.10.2006 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2

Köln 4-4 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
4-4
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.63 xG 1.76
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
394 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 42
23 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Köln vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln and Karlsruher SC shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 4-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Köln at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Köln had 51% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 49%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.63 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Köln and 0.67 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Köln vs Karlsruher SC?

Köln 4-4 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Köln 48%, draw 25%, Karlsruher SC 27%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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