Werder Bremen (K) 0-4 Bayern München (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
16.01
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
71%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
4%
+8.5pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.2pp
71%
Away Win
85%
-14.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.3pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
247 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.95 xG 1.99
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
229 Passes 427
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 21
22.04.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen (K)
0-4
AWAY Bayern München (K)
0.57 xG 1.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
233 Passes 564
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayern München (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) cruised past Werder Bremen (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Werder Bremen (K) had 33% of the ball to Bayern München (K)'s 67%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.57 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Werder Bremen (K) 0-4 Bayern München (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen (K) vs Bayern München (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen (K) 12%, draw 17%, Bayern München (K) 71%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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