Penya Encarnada 4-1 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
34%
3.8
Away
19%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.1pp
19%
Away Win
25%
-6.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 3-2 HT 0-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
03.12.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-3 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
17.09.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-0 HT 1-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
4-1
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada cruised past Esperança dAndorra 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 58% of the ball to Esperança dAndorra's 42%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.67 for Esperança dAndorra.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?

Penya Encarnada 4-1 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 48%, draw 34%, Esperança dAndorra 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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