Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago
2-1 HT 2-0
Barracas Central
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago vs Barracas Central Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No OUR CALL
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
19%
3.72
X/2
10%
10.25
X/X
13%
3.9
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
11%
9.3
2/X
5%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Cordoba Santiago v Barracas Central — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.88/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.36
+38% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.3 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Central Cordoba Santiago vs Barracas Central Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Barracas Central
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 274
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 2-2 HT 0-2 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
04.06.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
11.02.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 3-1 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ

Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1 Barracas Central — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
2-1
AWAY Barracas Central
0.90 xG 1.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
361 Passes 257
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Central Cordoba Santiago vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Cordoba Santiago nicked a narrow win over Barracas Central 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central Cordoba Santiago as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Cordoba Santiago had 57% of the ball to Barracas Central's 43%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.90 to 1.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barracas Central.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central Cordoba Santiago had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Central Cordoba Santiago and 1.33 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Central Cordoba Santiago vs Barracas Central?

Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Cordoba Santiago vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Cordoba Santiago win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Central Cordoba Santiago 48%, draw 25%, Barracas Central 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Cordoba Santiago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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