Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.4pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.11/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.17
+40% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.9 Crosses 18.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.91 xG 2.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
210 Passes 389
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-2 HT 0-1 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.10.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 4-3 HT 4-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
15.05.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
11.02.2019 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
30.10.2017 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-0 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
12.09.2016 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-0 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
2.59 xG 0.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
209 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 32
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba beat Boca Juniors 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 37% / 28% — and on the day Belgrano Cordoba made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 39% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 61%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.59 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 2.67 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?

Belgrano Cordoba 2-0 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 35%, draw 37%, Boca Juniors 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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