Shamakhi 2-2 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 39%
-14% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.69
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERK
04.11.2022 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-3 HT 1-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
03.09.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi and Turan Tovuz couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Shamakhi and 1.00 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz?

Shamakhi 2-2 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 34%, draw 27%, Turan Tovuz 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
29 Sep 2024
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