RFC Seraing 0-3 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

RFC Seraing
0-3 HT 0-1
RFC Liege
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Seraing v RFC Liege — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.20/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.33
-24% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
20.2 Crosses 24.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
0W-0D-2L
AWAY RFC Liege
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.19 xG 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
340 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.02.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-4 HT 0-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
03.12.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2

RFC Seraing 0-3 RFC Liege — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
0-3
AWAY RFC Liege
2.24 xG 2.88
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
370 Passes 191
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege ran out comfortable winners over RFC Seraing 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RFC Liege as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 64% of the ball to RFC Liege's 36%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.24 to 2.88.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, RFC Liege led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RFC Seraing and 3.00 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

RFC Seraing 0-3 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 29%, draw 26%, RFC Liege 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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