RFC Seraing 0-4 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 49%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.25/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.50
-4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.7
20.2 Crosses 28.1
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Seraing
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Liege
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
338 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2023 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
0-4
AWAY RFC Liege
0.85 xG 3.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
341 Passes 230
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege ran out comfortable winners over RFC Seraing 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day RFC Liege made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 56% of the ball to RFC Liege's 44%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.85 to 3.07.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

RFC Seraing 0-4 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 36%, draw 26%, RFC Liege 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Liege), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RFC Liege) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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