Dender EH 1-0 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.43/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.25
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
19.2 Crosses 22.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
1.14 xG 2.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 421
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-2 HT 2-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
11.02.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 5-2 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
07.10.2022 Dender EH Dender EH 0-3 HT 0-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
23.09.2015 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-0
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.54 xG 0.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
274 Passes 369
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH edged past Waasland-Beveren 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dender EH had 45% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 55%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.54 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Dender EH and 3.25 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Waasland-Beveren?

Dender EH 1-0 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 47%, draw 24%, Waasland-Beveren 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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