Lommel United 0-1 KV Oostende — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

Lommel United
0-1 HT 0-1
KV Oostende
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lommel United vs KV Oostende Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lommel United v KV Oostende — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY KV Oostende EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.81/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.78
+38% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.1 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Lommel United vs KV Oostende Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KV Oostende
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.43 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
334 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.08.2023 KV Oostende KV Oostende 0-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2

Lommel United 0-1 KV Oostende — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
0-1
AWAY KV Oostende
0.62 xG 1.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
617 Passes 183
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
32 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs KV Oostende
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KV Oostende nicked a narrow win over Lommel United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lommel United had 70% of the ball to KV Oostende's 30%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.62 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs KV Oostende?

Lommel United 0-1 KV Oostende in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs KV Oostende?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 44%, draw 30%, KV Oostende 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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