Esbjerg 1-1 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.59
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.48
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.75
X/X
12%
5.46
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.49
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.4pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.46/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.34
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
20.7 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
1-1
AWAY Hillerod
0.33 xG 1.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
247 Passes 548
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg and Hillerod shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Esbjerg had 35% of the ball to Hillerod's 65%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.33 to 1.77.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Hillerod?

Esbjerg 1-1 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 39%, draw 28%, Hillerod 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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