Roskilde 0-2 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.47
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.87
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.85
X/1
19%
3.98
X/2
8%
11.6
X/X
6%
6.92
2/1
8%
19.45
2/2
11%
7.91
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
Crosses 15.3
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-1D-3L
AWAY HB Koge
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
14.06.2020 Roskilde Roskilde 2-2 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
20.10.2019 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 1-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
21.08.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 1-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
07.08.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.03.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
0-2
AWAY HB Koge
1.21 xG 1.82
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
365 Passes 198
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge got the better of Roskilde 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roskilde at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roskilde had 62% of the ball to HB Koge's 38%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.21 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, HB Koge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Roskilde and 1.60 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs HB Koge?

Roskilde 0-2 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 55%, draw 21%, HB Koge 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
29 Sep 2024
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