Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
38%
2.66
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.25
Over 2.5
31%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.7pp
38%
Draw
34%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
76%
-7.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
24%
+7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.0pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Atlas Khenifra EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.78/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.11
-36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 HT 0-1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
21.10.2023 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0-1 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
06.01.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Atlas Khenifra FAS2
POST-MATCH Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chabab Atlas Khenifra and Chabab Ben Guerir shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 38% / 24% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chabab Atlas Khenifra and 1.00 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chabab Atlas Khenifra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chabab Atlas Khenifra 38%, draw 38%, Chabab Ben Guerir 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/24) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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