Olympic Safi 2-3 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Safi EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 54%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
0.94/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.83
+15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Safi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Raja Casablanca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-0 HT 0-0 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FASK
03.03.2024 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
28.10.2023 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 2-2 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
28.01.2023 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 3-1 HT 1-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
04.09.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-2 HT 1-2 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
22.06.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-3 HT 2-1 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Safi
2-3
AWAY Raja Casablanca
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olympic Safi vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca nicked a narrow win over Olympic Safi 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympic Safi had 42% of the ball to Raja Casablanca's 58%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olympic Safi and 1.67 for Raja Casablanca.

What was the final score of Olympic Safi vs Raja Casablanca?

Olympic Safi 2-3 Raja Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Safi vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Olympic Safi 29%, draw 24%, Raja Casablanca 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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