Polokwane City 1-1 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

Polokwane City
1-1 HT 1-1
Stellenbosch FC
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.53
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polokwane City v Stellenbosch FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.71/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.63
-12% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
20.9 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.72 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
256 Passes 300
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
03.11.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-2 HT 0-2 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFLK
09.08.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
25.01.2020 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
02.10.2019 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-2 HT 0-2 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL

Polokwane City 1-1 Stellenbosch FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-1
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.94 xG 0.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
185 Passes 278
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City and Stellenbosch FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polokwane City had 43% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 57%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.94 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Polokwane City and 2.00 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC?

Polokwane City 1-1 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 29%, draw 28%, Stellenbosch FC 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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