Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.0pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 58%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
0.88/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.73
+15% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +31%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
180 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
15.5 Crosses 23.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richards Bay
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.39 xG 1.22
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
188 Passes 510
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-1 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
25.11.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
04.11.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFLK
01.04.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
08.10.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richards Bay
0-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.51 xG 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
245 Passes 473
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates nicked a narrow win over Richards Bay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Richards Bay had 38% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 62%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.51 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Richards Bay and 0.40 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?

Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Richards Bay 25%, draw 28%, Orlando Pirates 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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