Orlando Pirates 0-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.8
Over 2.5
35%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
1.96
No
68%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 39% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.8pp
32%
BTTS Yes
47%
-14.5pp
68%
BTTS No
53%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.73/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.10
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +45%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
17.7 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Richards Bay
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.18 xG 0.38
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
482 Passes 188
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
04.11.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFLK
01.04.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
08.10.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
0-1
AWAY Richards Bay
1.38 xG 0.44
73% Ball Possession 27%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
622 Passes 185
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay squeezed past Orlando Pirates 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando Pirates at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 73% of the ball to Richards Bay's 27%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.44 — the balance of chances actually favoured Orlando Pirates.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.00 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?

Orlando Pirates 0-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 52%, draw 29%, Richards Bay 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orlando Pirates) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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