Moroka Swallows 2-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 11 May 2024

Moroka Swallows
2-0 HT 1-0
Stellenbosch FC
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

Moroka Swallows vs Stellenbosch FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 36% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moroka Swallows v Stellenbosch FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moroka Swallows EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 58%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
194 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 78%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards –

Moroka Swallows vs Stellenbosch FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moroka Swallows
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
22.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
11.02.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAF8K
10.09.2022 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 1-2 HT 1-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
16.02.2022 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows GAFPSL
17.10.2021 Moroka Swallows Moroka Swallows 1-1 HT 1-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL

Moroka Swallows 2-0 Stellenbosch FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moroka Swallows
2-0
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
1.11 xG 0.83
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
107 Passes 420
59% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moroka Swallows vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moroka Swallows got the better of Stellenbosch FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moroka Swallows had 26% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 74%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Moroka Swallows and 1.67 for Stellenbosch FC.

What was the final score of Moroka Swallows vs Stellenbosch FC?

Moroka Swallows 2-0 Stellenbosch FC in the South Afrika - Premier League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moroka Swallows vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Moroka Swallows 24%, draw 29%, Stellenbosch FC 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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