Yangpyeong 1-0 Pocheon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pocheon EU Bookmakers 42%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.77/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.69
-30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yangpyeong
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Pocheon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
01.06.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 0-1 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
09.03.2024 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 0-3 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GKOK
28.10.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 1-2 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
03.06.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 3-1 HT 2-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Yangpyeong vs Pocheon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yangpyeong edged past Pocheon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yangpyeong as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yangpyeong had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yangpyeong and 1.25 for Pocheon.

What was the final score of Yangpyeong vs Pocheon?

Yangpyeong 1-0 Pocheon in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yangpyeong vs Pocheon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yangpyeong win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yangpyeong 42%, draw 28%, Pocheon 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yangpyeong), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yangpyeong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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