Mokpo City 1-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
40%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
40%
Away Win
27%
+12.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.62/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.83
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
02.06.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
11.11.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
18.06.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
17.07.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
02.04.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
28.08.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City squeezed past Paju Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Mokpo City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mokpo City and 0.17 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Paju Citizen?

Mokpo City 1-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 38%, draw 22%, Paju Citizen 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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