NorthEast United 1-1 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

NorthEast United
1-1 HT 0-0
Kerala Blasters
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 30% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NorthEast United v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.44/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.34
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.3 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
239 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
20.01.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-4 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HINSK
21.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
29.01.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-0 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
05.11.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 0-3 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
04.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL

NorthEast United 1-1 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NorthEast United
1-1
AWAY Kerala Blasters
0.77 xG 1.13
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
165 Passes 296
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United and Kerala Blasters couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was NorthEast United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, NorthEast United had 41% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 59%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NorthEast United and 1.50 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters?

NorthEast United 1-1 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 41%, draw 27%, Kerala Blasters 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NorthEast United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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