WSE 0-1 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
47%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.3pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.0pp
47%
Away Win
65%
-18.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME WSE EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
220 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME WSE
0-1
AWAY Sham Shui Po
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH WSE vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sham Shui Po nicked a narrow win over WSE 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sham Shui Po as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, WSE had 47% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 53%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of WSE vs Sham Shui Po?

WSE 0-1 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for WSE vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split WSE 26%, draw 27%, Sham Shui Po 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sham Shui Po) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sham Shui Po) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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